Investor Insights

Archive: February, 2025

February 12, 2025

How DeepSeek has exposed the short lifespan of monopolies

By Roger Montgomery

What are the best businesses? The answer to that question is “monopolies” and investors need to ask whether the current crop of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven large language models (LLM’s) and the suppliers of their chips, storage and energy need have the monopoly characteristics they assumed.
February 7, 2025

Ausbiz – 2025 wildcards beyond the White House

By Roger Montgomery

Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to discuss market trends, noting that while disinflation and economic growth provide support, tightening liquidity could impact small caps this year. I highlighted real estate as an opportunity, where temporary setbacks, like the REA Group (ASX:REA) CEO’s resignation, may offer buying chances. Looking ahead, U. S.
February 5, 2025

February ABC Nightlife – Finance

By Roger Montgomery

Last night, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to talk about the growing calls for a market correction and why I don’t see the signs of a bubble.
February 5, 2025

ABC Newcastle Mornings – February 2024

By Roger Montgomery

Yesterday morning, I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss U. S. President Trump’s newly imposed tariffs – 25 per cent on Mexico and Canada, 10 per cent on China, and their impact on inflation, interest rates, and global markets.
February 3, 2025

Firstlinks – An alternative asset class for income-seeking retirees

By Roger Montgomery

In my latest article for Firstlinks, I unpack a fundamental question: why do investors react differently to market fluctuations when they own a listed company versus a private business? If a private enterprise consistently grows its profits, owners dismiss lowball offers. Yet in public markets, investors often panic over short-term price movements, even when the business is thriving.

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