Investor Insights

I joined Philip Muscatello on the Shares for Beginners podcast to discuss the outlook for 2025, shifting market conditions, and where investors should focus in the year ahead. We explored the impact of disinflation, robust economic growth, and liquidity shifts on global markets, as well as the role of artificial intelligence (AI) and innovative companies.

Last week, I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the current reporting season. Share prices are reacting more sharply to earnings surprises, with around four companies beating estimates for every one that misses. Dividend per share results are also exceeding forecasts at a two-to-one rate, driving company outlook upgrades.

This week, I joined David Taylor on ABC PM to discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut and why bank customers should take action. Many of us are effectively lending money to banks for free, and inertia prevents us from seeking better returns.

I joined Ausbiz to discuss the market’s strong reactions to earnings surprises this reporting season, the competitive advantages driving companies like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ahead of rivals, and Nick Scali’s growth through strategic acquisitions.

I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio yesterday to discuss the potential impact of rate cuts, the key drivers of the U. S. market’s strong performance, and what investors should focus on moving forward. We also touched on how markets are reacting to the deferral of tariffs, adding uncertainty to the outlook.

What are the best businesses? The answer to that question is “monopolies” and investors need to ask whether the current crop of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven large language models (LLM’s) and the suppliers of their chips, storage and energy need have the monopoly characteristics they assumed.

Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to discuss market trends, noting that while disinflation and economic growth provide support, tightening liquidity could impact small caps this year. I highlighted real estate as an opportunity, where temporary setbacks, like the REA Group (ASX:REA) CEO’s resignation, may offer buying chances. Looking ahead, U. S.

Last night, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to talk about the growing calls for a market correction and why I don’t see the signs of a bubble.

Yesterday morning, I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss U. S. President Trump’s newly imposed tariffs – 25 per cent on Mexico and Canada, 10 per cent on China, and their impact on inflation, interest rates, and global markets.

In my latest article for Firstlinks, I unpack a fundamental question: why do investors react differently to market fluctuations when they own a listed company versus a private business? If a private enterprise consistently grows its profits, owners dismiss lowball offers. Yet in public markets, investors often panic over short-term price movements, even when the business is thriving.

This morning, I joined Sean Aylmer on the Fear and Greed podcast to discuss the latest market turmoil triggered by Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) company, DeepSeek. We explored how DeepSeek’s development of a low-cost large language model has raised questions about AI’s competitive landscape, leading to a historic US$589 billion wipeout in Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) market capitalisation.

In yesterday’s interview on Statewide Drive with Jess McGuire, I discussed how 2025 is shaping up for investment markets. As we approached the U. S. presidential inauguration, global markets performed strongly, with the S&P 500 up 3 per cent and tech stocks, predominantly led by the ‘Magnificent 7,’ also showing gains.